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    Stealing A Glance at Balokole Polls: Pastor Kyazze Takes Early Lead as Bisiyaga Assumes the Center Stage at The Election of New Leadership Today

    Stealing A Glance at Balokole Polls: Pastor Kyazze Takes Early Lead as Bisiyaga Assumes the Center Stage at The Election of New Leadership Today

    Fake Blackmail: Let Ham Deliver Nakivubo Stadia instead of Labeling Bond Okello, Audrine Nsubuga Unpatriotic

    Fake Blackmail: Let Ham Deliver Nakivubo Stadia instead of Labeling Bond Okello, Audrine Nsubuga Unpatriotic

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    All Royal: HRH Kamuswaga Concludes His Official Trip to California with Lots of Investors` Attraction to Kooki Kingdom

    Of Daily Monitor’s 30th Well-Earned Birth Bazaar And the Tough Scribes That Have kept M7`s Sleep in Constant Check

    Of Daily Monitor’s 30th Well-Earned Birth Bazaar And the Tough Scribes That Have kept M7`s Sleep in Constant Check

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    Digital Technologies Could Help Uganda’s Economy Recover Faster

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    Liquid Telecom to host first cloud event of its kind in Uganda

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    UNBS closes Sunshare factory over failure to comply with Standards

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    A Day in Life: UEFA’s Aleksandra Ceferino’s ‘Pass Time’ Visit to The Aliguma offered a Real-Life Time Opportunity to Repackage Uganda’s Football; But it didn’t!

    Cry My Beloved Country: How Patriotic Brenda Nanyonjo is Staking Her All to Keep the Miss Uganda Brand Afloat as Government Shamelessly Gaze On

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    Have This Instead: Remorseful Sevo Gives Land as Compensation to Boxing Body for their Fallen Zebra ‘Mando’ Senyange, Murdered by Security

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    BAD NEWS: Veteran Singer Halima Namakula and her National Promoters Associations Set to Kill the Entertainment Industry with their new Permit Ultimatum

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    What a Wasted Investment in the 59-Day Lasted Vipers` Coach Roberto Luiz who Registered only 0 Wins against a Heavily Lavish Vipers Squad!

    What a Wasted Investment in the 59-Day Lasted Vipers` Coach Roberto Luiz who Registered only 0 Wins against a Heavily Lavish Vipers Squad!

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    Stealing A Glance at Balokole Polls: Pastor Kyazze Takes Early Lead as Bisiyaga Assumes the Center Stage at The Election of New Leadership Today

    Stealing A Glance at Balokole Polls: Pastor Kyazze Takes Early Lead as Bisiyaga Assumes the Center Stage at The Election of New Leadership Today

    NWSC Milestone: Parombo Water Supply Operations Gets Power Upgrade that Migrates from Generators to Hydro Power 

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    UNBS closes Sunshare factory over failure to comply with Standards

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    UG Pineapple at B&W

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    To Connect the Unconnected with Innovations towards Inclusive Growth

    To Connect the Unconnected with Innovations towards Inclusive Growth

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    Cindy Sanyu to headline Eastern Megafest

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    Stealing A Glance at Balokole Polls: Pastor Kyazze Takes Early Lead as Bisiyaga Assumes the Center Stage at The Election of New Leadership Today

    Stealing A Glance at Balokole Polls: Pastor Kyazze Takes Early Lead as Bisiyaga Assumes the Center Stage at The Election of New Leadership Today

    Fake Blackmail: Let Ham Deliver Nakivubo Stadia instead of Labeling Bond Okello, Audrine Nsubuga Unpatriotic

    Fake Blackmail: Let Ham Deliver Nakivubo Stadia instead of Labeling Bond Okello, Audrine Nsubuga Unpatriotic

    Heroine! Presidency Minister Milly Babalanda Saves Kyabazinga from Physical Assault at the Canada Busoga Symposium

    Heroine! Presidency Minister Milly Babalanda Saves Kyabazinga from Physical Assault at the Canada Busoga Symposium

    All Royal: HRH Kamuswaga Concludes His Official Trip to California with Lots of Investors` Attraction to Kooki Kingdom

    All Royal: HRH Kamuswaga Concludes His Official Trip to California with Lots of Investors` Attraction to Kooki Kingdom

    Of Daily Monitor’s 30th Well-Earned Birth Bazaar And the Tough Scribes That Have kept M7`s Sleep in Constant Check

    Of Daily Monitor’s 30th Well-Earned Birth Bazaar And the Tough Scribes That Have kept M7`s Sleep in Constant Check

    Stephen Kissa the Pace-setter

    Stephen Kissa: Unveiling the Country’s Pace-maker who set Ace Cheptegei`s World Athletics` Gold and Bronze Medals

    Trending Tags

    • Trump Inauguration
    • United Stated
    • White House
    • Market Stories
    • Election Results
  • Tech
    • All
    • Apps
    • Gadget
    • Mobile
    • Startup
    Digital Technologies Could Help Uganda’s Economy Recover Faster

    Digital Technologies Could Help Uganda’s Economy Recover Faster

    Liquid Telecom to host first cloud event of its kind in Uganda

    Liquid Telecom to host first cloud event of its kind in Uganda

    TECNO Mobile Uganda Skills Graduates Through Its Graduate Trainee Program

    TECNO mobile Uganda skills graduates through its graduate trainee program

    UNBS closes Sunshare factory over failure to comply with Standards

    UNBS closes Sunshare factory over failure to comply with Standards

    Outgoing PRAU President Cynthia Mpanga (right) hands over the key to new PRAU President Sarah Kagingo as PRAU Patron Min. Frank Tumwebaze looks on

    Hon. Frank Tumwebaze graces PRAU Governing Council Handover Ceremony

    UG Pineapple at B&W

    It was Blankets and Pineapple Waragi as SA’s Distruction Boys entertain Kampala

    Trending Tags

    • Nintendo Switch
    • CES 2017
    • Playstation 4 Pro
    • Mark Zuckerberg
  • Entertainment
    • All
    • Gaming
    • Movie
    • Music
    A Day in Life: UEFA’s Aleksandra Ceferino’s ‘Pass Time’ Visit to The Aliguma offered a Real-Life Time Opportunity to Repackage Uganda’s Football; But it didn’t!

    A Day in Life: UEFA’s Aleksandra Ceferino’s ‘Pass Time’ Visit to The Aliguma offered a Real-Life Time Opportunity to Repackage Uganda’s Football; But it didn’t!

    Cry My Beloved Country: How Patriotic Brenda Nanyonjo is Staking Her All to Keep the Miss Uganda Brand Afloat as Government Shamelessly Gaze On

    Cry My Beloved Country: How Patriotic Brenda Nanyonjo is Staking Her All to Keep the Miss Uganda Brand Afloat as Government Shamelessly Gaze On

    Have This Instead: Remorseful Sevo Gives Land as Compensation to Boxing Body for their Fallen Zebra ‘Mando’ Senyange, Murdered by Security

    Have This Instead: Remorseful Sevo Gives Land as Compensation to Boxing Body for their Fallen Zebra ‘Mando’ Senyange, Murdered by Security

    BAD NEWS: Veteran Singer Halima Namakula and her National Promoters Associations Set to Kill the Entertainment Industry with their new Permit Ultimatum

    BAD NEWS: Veteran Singer Halima Namakula and her National Promoters Associations Set to Kill the Entertainment Industry with their new Permit Ultimatum

    Boxing Big Envelope: Making Sense of the Enormous Envelope Received by Uganda Boxing Federation President Moses Muhangi

    Boxing Big Envelope: Making Sense of the Enormous Envelope Received by Uganda Boxing Federation President Moses Muhangi

    What a Wasted Investment in the 59-Day Lasted Vipers` Coach Roberto Luiz who Registered only 0 Wins against a Heavily Lavish Vipers Squad!

    What a Wasted Investment in the 59-Day Lasted Vipers` Coach Roberto Luiz who Registered only 0 Wins against a Heavily Lavish Vipers Squad!

  • Lifestyle
    • All
    • Fashion
    • Food
    • Health
    • Travel
    Stealing A Glance at Balokole Polls: Pastor Kyazze Takes Early Lead as Bisiyaga Assumes the Center Stage at The Election of New Leadership Today

    Stealing A Glance at Balokole Polls: Pastor Kyazze Takes Early Lead as Bisiyaga Assumes the Center Stage at The Election of New Leadership Today

    NWSC Milestone: Parombo Water Supply Operations Gets Power Upgrade that Migrates from Generators to Hydro Power 

    Uganda to Host the Next African Water Association Congress and Exhibition as NWSC MD DR. Eng. Silver Mugisha wins Second Presidential Term

    Thursday With Joan Bonny: When the Stranger Becomes your Hero than the People you are Familiar with, Know Better

    Thursday with Joan Atuhwera: The Pressure from Society for Young men and Women to get Married is Extremely Needless

    National Water and Sewerage Corporation Technical Staff’ Skills Enhanced for Better Service Delivery 

    Work in Progress: NWSC Starts Water Supply Extension to the East African Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP) Sites in Sembabule

    World Pangolin Day: Let’s Do Something and Quickly or The Pangolin Could Go Extinct Before Most People Realize It Exists

    World Pangolin Day: Let’s Do Something and Quickly or The Pangolin Could Go Extinct Before Most People Realize It Exists

    Thursday With Joan Bonny: When the Stranger Becomes your Hero than the People you are Familiar with, Know Better

    Thursday With Joan Atuhwera: Menstrual leave legislation should be Introduced so Women can take the vital time off

    Trending Tags

    • Golden Globes
    • Game of Thrones
    • MotoGP 2017
    • eSports
    • Fashion Week
  • Opinions
    UNBS closes Sunshare factory over failure to comply with Standards

    UNBS closes Sunshare factory over failure to comply with Standards

    UG Pineapple at B&W

    It was Blankets and Pineapple Waragi as SA’s Distruction Boys entertain Kampala

    To Connect the Unconnected with Innovations towards Inclusive Growth

    To Connect the Unconnected with Innovations towards Inclusive Growth

    Cindy Sanyu

    Cindy Sanyu to headline Eastern Megafest

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The Busiika Police Attack: Details Why Its Foolhardy to Launch a War in 2022 Using the Past Bush Warfare Tactics Of 1980

Although Revolutions Are Never Imitated Some Ugandans Still Posses A Hangover for a Replica of the 80s Bush-War

November 7, 2022
inCrime news, Featured, Opinion, Politics
The Busiika Police Attack: Details Why Its Foolhardy to Launch a War in 2022 Using the Past Bush Warfare Tactics Of 1980

The Busiika Police Attack scene of Crime (Courtesy Photo)

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There is a psychological theory of revolutions, which states that revolutions are never imitated. This, we have read about in war literature. It emphasizes that it’s foolhardy to expect war circumstances to be repeated in the same way they happened in the past.

This maxim is similar to Rtd Maj. Nuw`amanya Mushega’s saying that history doesn’t necessarily repeat itself. But it does repeat itself when the idiots of today repeat the mistakes which were committed by the fools of the past. Last week, a group of armed people attacked a police station in some parts of Luwero, killed two policemen, and seriously injured others before they took off with two guns – an act that was a direct replica of the 1980s bush war when the rebels used to attack defenseless police stations, killed them and took off with guns.

Domino Effect of The Bush War

A domino effect is a cumulative effect produced when one event initiates a succession of similar events. When Gen Museveni and his group succeeded to get to power in 1986, it had a domino effect of inspiring many people to try the same trick of picking guns and trying their luck. Some Ugandans feel that there is no reason why they cannot succeed where Museveni did. But they forgot the maxim that revolutions are never imitated.

This domino saying is borne out of the fact that circumstances for the previous revolution may not necessitate another revolution. For instance, the circumstances that necessitated the 80s bush-war may not be obtaining on the ground to justify another bush-war, forty years after. You need to appreciate that circumstances that made it possible for the bush-war to thrive in the 1980s don’t exist today.

One needs to understand that by the time the likes of Museveni, Andrew Kayiira, Moses Ali launched the war on government, there was no effective administrative structure to enforce effective control of the state. President Amin had been invaded out of power in 1979, and he had fled with his army and police, and left behind a serious administrative vacuum that couldn’t deal with a rebellion.

The reality is that by the time Museveni and his group launched the war with the Kabamba attack on 6thFebruary 1981, Obote’s UPC government had been in power for just two months. Why? The hugely contested elections were held in December 1980 but by 6th February 1981 Museveni was already in the bush at a time when Milton Obote’s UPC government had just been in power for less than two months!

This means that by that time, UPC administration had not developed a nationwide structure to deal with an insurgency of bush-war proportions. Another factor that made it possible for them to succeed was the wicked attitude of the UNLA army which tortured, raped, looted and killed Ugandans without any remorse to an extent that Ugandans were ready for anyone who could liberate them.

It was under those circumstances that Gen Museveni’s NRA managed to takeover power. Fast forward to 2022. You cannot dream of fighting an NRA government that has been entrenched in power for the last 36 years and built its tentacles all over the country. You should also take note of the fact that the UPDF is not like the monstrous UNLA which had lost the moral authority to survive as a national army.

Launching a war in 2022 using the bush-war methods of 1980 is one of the most senseless endeavors. This is because of changes in technology that has made it difficult for such occurrences. For instance, in 1980, there was no mobile phone system to make effective communication possible for government to act on rebel presence in a given area.

This made it possible for the Museveni’s to roam the forests and hills for days before the security agencies could respond. Today, the communication system is so versatile that any rebel presence can be reported within seconds. Another issue is that after witnessing the LRA and ADF wars, Ugandans have known the devastating effects of war. LRA’s Joseph Kony managed to inflict terrible suffering on the people in the northern region that has left a foul smell which shouldn’t happen again.

The ADF war has left the people of western Uganda cursing why it was launched in the first place. Therefore, although some Ugandans are still yawning with a hung-over for war, the circumstances are not as permissive as they think. The societies which have failed to appreciate technological changes in warfare, like the Taliban, are on the verge of getting extinct.

Today, it’s possible to strike the enemy without deploying an army. Advanced armies today are using drones to demolish enemy positions. Angolan rebel leader Jonas Savimbi, was killed because the phone calls he was making to Lisbon were tapped and hence, he was easily located and taken out of action. Even the Libyan leader, the late Col Muamar Ghaddafi was betrayed by the phone calls he was trying to make from Sitre to Europe that exposed his position and he was bombed by NATO. With all this in mind, and with all the factors held constant, it would be foolhardy of any Ugandan to think of launching a war in 2022 using tactics and war methodologies of 1980. This is because revolutions are never imitated in a copy and paste style.

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Fred Daka Kamwada
Fred Daka Kamwada
Fred Daka Kamwada is a seasoned journalist, blogger and political analyst for over a decade in Uganda
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